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Climatic and Astronomical Events from the 4th to 11th Century

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By Bruce Macfarlane, author of Notes on Arthurian Literature

From the mid-5th century south and eastern Britain began to receive Germanic settlements which generally coexisted with the British populations under treaties. Evidence is seen in Bede and the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle .

However, the beginning of the 6th century saw increased conflicts and migrations in Europe with pressure in the east from Slavic and Asiatic tribes pushing the Germanic tribes west . The Anglo-Saxon Chronicle begins to report wars and battles between the Britons and newly arrived Saxons, with a British victory at Baddon around 517 AD.


There have been various explanations for the invasions or migrations however the most probable driving force may have been a catastrophic change in the climate in the early 6th century. Evidence for this can be found in Romans, Celts and Saxons texts which record various plagues, solar eclipses and dark skies .

This table tries to compare events in Arthurian literature with external historical and astronomical events.

It includes a list of calculated dates of appearances of Halley’s Comet (53) and Solar/Lunar eclipses in Britain as calculated by NASA against such events recorded in medieval manuscripts.

Key to sources
BD: Bede,
NH: Nennius,
AC: Annales Cambrae,
ASC: Anglo-Saxon Chronical,
GLD: Gildas,
RW: Roger of Wendover

374Halley’s Comet (1P/374 E1): perihelion about 17 February. Recorded mainly from 4 March to 2 April; close approach about 0.09 AU. 
375Valentinian II proclaimed western emperor; reigned 375–392. 
c. 378Probable birth of Germanus of Auxerre (died c. 448; both dates are approximate). 
381 BD/ASC: Maximus becomes emperor in Britain and crosses to Gaul.
383Magnus Maximus proclaimed emperor by troops in Britain; crosses to Gaul and defeats Gratian.GM: Maximianus takes a large British force to Gaul.
388Magnus Maximus defeated and executed at Aquileia. 
c. 389–390Philostorgius describes a new and strange light formed from bright globes and resembling a double-edged sword. Possibly a comet or atmospheric phenomenon. 
401–402Troops associated with Stilicho were redeployed during the defence of Italy. The scale and precise date of any withdrawal from Britain remain uncertain. 
402Honorius’s court established at Ravenna, which became the principal western imperial residence. 
31 Dec. 406Vandals, Alans and Suebi cross the Rhine. The traditional date is 31 December 406; the claim that the river was frozen is uncertain. 
407Constantine III proclaimed emperor in Britain. He crosses to Gaul with troops from Britain and establishes authority there.GM: Constantine, brother of Aldroenus, is made king after Gracianus. Geoffrey’s literary Constantine is distinct from the historical Constantine III.
409–410Breakdown of effective Roman imperial government in Britain.BD: Following the capture of Rome, the Romans cease to rule Britain. Bede’s chronological summary places this under 409.
410Famine and disease accompany the sieges and capture of Rome. Severe famine and warfare also affect parts of Hispania. Rome is captured by the Vusigoths 
411Constantius, later Constantius III, forces Constantine III to surrender at Arles. Gerontius’s forces collapse; he flees to Hispania and dies during a mutiny. 
19 July 418Total solar eclipse visible across parts of the Roman world. Philostorgius reports On 19 July AD 418, the Sun was so completely eclipsed that stars became visible. At about the same time, a bright cone-shaped object appeared and remained visible for more than four months, moving gradually from east to west and towards Ursa Major. 
421Flavius Constantius becomes co-emperor Constantius III with Honorius; he dies after a reign of about seven months. 
424–425Valentinian III made Caesar in 424 and western emperor in 425; reigned as Augustus until 455. 
429First mission of Germanus of Auxerre to Britain, traditionally associated with the ‘Alleluia Victory’ against Picts and Saxons.BD: Germanus leads the Britons in the Alleluia Victory.
c. 433–454Aetius is the dominant western Roman general and political figure. 
c. 441Chronica Gallica of 452 states that Britain, after many disasters, fell under Saxon control. Its chronology and meaning remain debated. 
446Aetius holds his third consulship.GLD: ‘To Aetius, thrice consul: the groans of the Britons.’
c. 448Traditional date for the death of Germanus of Auxerre.GLD: Pestilence affects Britain, but Gildas gives no exact year and does not associate it specifically with 448.
449 BD/ASC: Vortigern invites the Angles or Saxons, who arrive in three ships. GLD describes the proud tyrant inviting three keels but provides no year.
450Marcian becomes eastern Roman emperor; reigns 450–457. Chronicle of John of Nikiu:“And on the day of Marcian’s accession there was darkness over all the earth from the first hour of the day till the evening. And that darkness was like that which had been in the land of Egypt in the days of Moses.”BD places Marcian’s accession and the traditional Saxon arrival under 449
451Halley’s Comet: recorded from June to August. Aetius and Theodoric I defeat Attila at the Battle of the Catalaunian Plains.GLD describes widespread destruction by fire but supplies no date connecting the passage specifically with 451. Gallic Chronicle of 452 records that the northern sky became red “as though it were fire or blood”, with brighter lines resembling glowing spears. uncertain.
454Aetius killed by Valentinian III. 
455Total lunar eclipse on 19 January. Valentinian III assassinated by former followers of Aetius; Petronius Maximus seizes the western throne.ASC: Hengest and Horsa fight Vortigern at Aylesford; Horsa is killed.  
457Leo I eastern emperor, 457–474. Majorian western emperor, 457–461.ASC: Hengest and Æsc fight the Britons at Crayford, kill 4,000 men and drive the Britons from Kent to London.
458Total solar eclipse.HB: Germanus admonishes Vortigern. The narrative is undated; Germanus had died by about 448.
461–465Libius Severus western emperor.GM: Vortigern’s invitation of Hengest belongs to Geoffrey’s narrative chronology rather than to a dated historical event.
465 ASC: Hengest and Æsc fight the Welsh near Wippedfleet and kill twelve Welsh leaders; Wipped is killed on the English side.
467Anthemius becomes western emperor; reigns 467–472.GM: The Britons appeal to Aurelius Ambrosius and Uther in Brittany; Ambrosius attacks Vortigern.
c. 469–471At the request of Anthemius, Riothamus, called ‘King of the Britons’ by Jordanes, brings 12,000 men by sea to Gaul and is defeated by Euric’s Visigoths before joining the Roman army. 
472Eruption of Mount Vesuvius, 6 November AD 472: The major eruption known as the Pollena eruption devastated areas around Vesuvius and produced widespread ashfall. 
473 RW: Ambrosius defeats Saxons at Wipedesfleet
474474-491 Zeno, Eastern Roman emperorBD: Chronica Majora; In the reign of Zeno, the Britons, under the leadership of Ambrosius Aurelianus defeated them
476Romulus Augustulus, last Western Roman emperor, deposed by Odoacer 
480Zeno declares himself sole ruler of the Roman EmpireBD: 447 or 480 The Saxons were received by Vortigern, four hundred and forty-seven years after the passion of Christ, and, according to the tradition of our ancestors
487 RW: Ambrosius Aurelius slew a great multitude of Saxons
490 RW: Ambrosius Aurelius besieges York with Merlin
494 GLD: 494? Ambrosius Aurelius: Battle of Badon Hill- 44 years after the landing of the Saxons and Gildas’ birth BD: Ambrosius Aurelius. Under him till the year of the siege of Baddesdownhill, about forty-four years after their arrival in England
495 ASC: Cerdic and Cynric his son came to Britain, fought with the Welsh the same day. Then Cerdic died and Cynric reigned for 26 years
497 GLD: external wars stop but civil war continues RW: death of Aurelius Ambrosius and star on a fiery ball like a dragon
498Chronicle of Joshua the Stylite [January], we saw another sign in the exact south-west corner of the heavens, which resembled a spear.GLD: 498? 5 Tyrants; Constantius of Dumnonia, Aurelius Caninus, Vortiporius, Cuneglasus, Maglocunus (Maelgwn) RW: Coronation of Uther Pendragon
500 HB: The Saxons were received by Vortigern, four hundred and forty-seven years after the passion of Christ,
501 ASC: Beda & Bela slew a young Britain of high rank
507partial solar eclipse 
508 ASC: Cerdic and Cynric slew a British king whose name was Natanleod
514 ASC: at Cerdic’s-ore. Stuff and Whitgar fought with the Britons, and put them to flight
516 AC: Battle of Badon RW: Death of Uther and Arthur crowned King; a youth of 15 years
519 ASC: Cerdic and Cynric established Wessex kingdom after battle of Cerdicesford
520 HB: when Arthur penetrated to the hill of Badon. RW: Arthur at Badon
525Dionysius Exiguus introduced the Anno Domini dating system 
527527 -565 JustinianRW: Justinian begins reign
530530 AD Chinese Annals of Wei (83) Halley’s CometASC: 530 This year Cerdic and Cynric took the Isle of Wight, and slew many men.
534 ASC Cerdic died and son Cynric reigned for 26 yrs
536536-546 Tree ring growth. Volcanic winter 536-7 Procopius “a grave portent”. whole year “the Sun sent forth his rays without his usual brilliance. Cassiodorus “The Sun lost its wonted light and seems of a bluish colour. We marvel to see no shadows of our bodies at noon” 536 partial solar eclipseIrish annals – failure of bread.
537537 Siege of Rome (537–38) Gothic War.AC: Camlann and the death of Arthur and Medraut. and there was plague in Britain and Ireland RW: Arthur Slays Lucas Roman Consul
538538 31/1 total lunar eclipseASC: 538 Eclipse of the sun. BD: Solar eclipse, 16 February
539539 sun was eclipsedRW: sun was eclipsed
540540 20/6 total solar eclipse Rome 540 Zachariah of Mitylene said that “a great and terrible comet appeared in the sky at evening time for 100 days” about A.D. 540.ASC: This year the sun was eclipsed RW: A great mortality in Constantinople BD: Solar eclipse, stars visible
541541 Plague of Justinian (541–542)RW: a comet over Gaul. Rivers of blood fell from the clouds and great mortality just before the final battle between Arthur and Mordred RW: King Arthur died
543 RW: 2 sons of Mordred killed by Constantine
544544 total solar eclipseRW: a severe winter.. birds became tame.
545 RW: Constantine king of Britons died. Succeeded by nephew Aurelius Conan
546536-546 Tree ring growth. Volcanic winter 
547Polar ice-core sulphate and tree-ring evidence of volcanic eruptionAC: a great death. Maelgwn of Gwynedd died. Followed by yellow plague
549 Annals of Ulster: A great mortality in which these rested
552 ASC: Cynric defeats Britons at Sarum
554 RW: A severe winter and birds became tame
555 RW: Lances in the northwest corner of the heavens
556 ASC: Cynric defeats Britons at Beranbury
562563: Gregory of Tours: the mountain Tauredunum collapsed near Lake Geneva, destroying settlements and causing a destructive wave across the lakeRW: A mountain collapsed near the Rhone destroying many villages 567: RW: fiery spears seen in the air.
570 AC: death of Gildas
571 RW: completed one cycle of the Easter period 524 years after the crucifixion
573 AC: The battle of Arfderydd between the sons of Eliffer and Gwenddolau son of Ceidio; in which battle Gwenddolau fell; Merlin went mad.
577 ASC: Cuthwine and Ceawlin killed 3 British kings. Commail, Cordida, Farinmail at Dyrham
578 RW: St Germanus died. Aurelius Conanus king of Britons died succeeded by Vortipore
580 RW: fiery meteors. Ceawlin took Gloucester, Cirencester and Bath AC: Conversion of Constantine BD: Byzantine Emperor Maurice Tiberius dies
582Death of Tiberius II Constantine, Eastern Roman emperor from 578 to 582. 
583:Gregory of  Tours: chronicles immense, unseasonal flooding across Europe. Seine and Marne rivers in Paris rose so high that boats frequently shipwrecked. 
584 RW: Tiberius died
585October AD 585: Gregory of Tours records repeated nocturnal displays over Gaul consisting of bright rays in the northern sky and blood-red cloud-like forms. The direction, colour and movement described are consistent with an intense auroral display, 
590Roman Plague: Flood and plague at Rome: Following severe flooding of the Tiber, Rome suffered an epidemic described by Gregory of Tours as an inguinal or groin plague.591. RW: Destruction and pestilence in Italy
592total solar eclipse ConstantinopleAC: Augustine converts English
596 RW: Augustine sent to Britain
601Apocalyptic warning attributed to Pope Gregory I who warns of “changes of air”, storms, wars, famines, plagues, earthquakes and “terrors from heavenBD: many things are at hand which were not before, viz. changes of air, and terrors from heaven, and tempests out of the order of the seasons, wars, famines, plagues, earthquakes in several places
604Pope Gregory dies 
607Halley’s Comet Seen for over 100 days in China. 
626 AC: Edwin baptised
639639 total solar eclipseRW: Cerdic first king of Saxons dies
661661 partial solar eclipse 
664664 total solar eclipse 664 Synod of WhitbyASC: This year the sun was eclipsed, on the eleventh of May; there was a great plague in the island Britain BD: there happened an eclipse of the sun, on the third of May. In the same year, a sudden pestilence depopulated of men.
665 AC: The first celebration of Easter among the Saxons. The second battle of Badon. Morgan dies
676676-678 Great Comet X/676 P1: A brilliant, long-tailed comet was recorded in East Asian, Middle Eastern and European sources.AC: “A star of marvellous magnitude was seen shining throughout the whole world.” BD: In August 678 “a star, called a comet” appeared and continued for three months; Wilfrid was expelled from his see. ASC: “The comet-star appeared in August and shone like a sunbeam every morning for three months.” RW: A comet appeared and shone for three months.BD: a comet appeared, and Bishop Wilfred driven from his See.
680680 Roman Plague. Ref: Paul the Deacon and in the [Liber Pontificalis] during the tenure of Pope Agatho. 
682 AC: A great plague in Britain, in which Cadwaladr son of Cadwallon dies
684684 AD Chinese Annals of Tang (83) Halley’s CometAC: A plague was in Ireland
686686 eclipse of the moonRW: eclipse of the moon
687687 Plague in EgyptRW: a terrible pestilence also in Rome
689Possible Saharan dessert dust storm ?AC: The rain turned to blood in Britain, and in Ireland milk and butter turned sour
698partial solar eclipse 
729 ASC: Anglo-Saxon Chronicle ..this year a star appeared and St. Egbert died
733733 partial solar eclipseASC: the sun was eclipsed;
734734 total lunar eclipseRW: 7 Bede died RW: Moon suffused with blood ASC:. This year was the moon as if covered with blood;
735735 Death of Bede 
758758 total solar eclipse 
760760AD Chinese Annals of Tang (83) Halley’s Comet 760 eclipse of the moonRW: eclipse of the moon
764764 partial solar eclipse 
774774–775 Carbon-14 Spike: Possible Solar flareRW: This year also appeared in the heavens a red crucifix, after sunset; the Mercians and the men of Kent fought at Otford; and wonderful serpents were seen in the land of the South-Saxons.
793 ASC: This year came dreadful fore-warnings over the land of the Northumbrians, terrifying the people most woefully: These tremendous tokens were soon followed by a great famine immense sheets of light rushing through the air, and whirlwinds, and fiery, dragons flying across the firmament.
795 ASC: This year was the moon eclipsed, between cock-crowing and dawn, on the fifth day before the calends of April
796 RW: Small globes seen around the sun.
800 ASC. This year was the moon eclipsed, at eight in the evening [or second hour of the night], on the seventeenth day before the calends of February
806 ASC: here the moon grew dark on 1 September
807 ASC. This year was the sun eclipsed,
818818 partial solar eclipse 
827 ASC: This year was the moon eclipsed
837837 February 6 Halley’s Comet Annals of Tang 
838 RW: a great terrible plague
848 RW: eclipse of the sun
852852 partial solar eclipse 
878878 total solar eclipse 
879 ASC the sun goes dark
885885 total solar eclipseASC: the sun grew dark
891891 Comet observed, ChinaRW: a star appeared… some men say that in English it may be termed “hairy star”; for that there standeth off from it a long gleam of light
905905 Comet observed, ChinaASC: Here a comet appeared.
906 RW: a comet appeared for half a year.
912(83) Halley’s Comet 912 18 July, 912 Chinese Annals of the Five Dynasties .912 Annals of Ulster (a chronicle of medieval Ireland) notes in its final entry for AD 912: “A dark and rainy year. A comet appeared
975 ASC: and this year Edward, Edgar’s son, succeeded to the kingdom; and then soon, in the same year, during harvest, appeared “comet” the star; RW: A comet appeared followed by dreadful famine.
987 RW: 2 Plagues. One of people, the other of animals
989989 AD Chinese Annals of Song Halley’s Comet 
995 ASC: a comet that is haired
10661066 Halley’s CometASC: AD 1066 ASC. Then was over all England such a token seen as no man ever saw before. Some men said that it was the comet-star, which others denominate the long-haired star. It appeared first on the eve called “Litania major” that is, on the eighth before the calends of May; and so shone all the week RW: Harold’s death predicted by large comet of bloody colour with a long train

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